The
Telegraph's property correspondent perhaps needs to do more homework on Central
European market prospects.......
by
Rosie Murray-West on the ups and downs of the property world " It's terribly
confusing, this property business."
Rosie
Murray-West was apparently first appointed as the Telegraph's Property correspondent
in September 2004, this much may be surmised from one of her initial articles
where she commented " It's terribly confusing, this property business."
it
is apparent that Ms. Rosie Murray-West (RMW) has wider journalistic experience
than the property market but this writer believes that RMW should do more than
trawl the Internet, if her Property column is going to command respect of those
"in the know"..........
I do not know RMWs property
background, but am quite certain that it is different from my own...................
starting at one of UKs respected colleges for Chartered Surveyors, a period as
site manager on a residential development project, as a consultant for the Canary
Wharf project, as a management consultant for Price Waterhouse where assignments
included strategy development for the property industry, as the owner of a development
project in the SE England, and finally as an analyst of the Property market in
Central Europe.
Do I know more than RMW.......... I doubt it........
The Property markets of the world are a mystery to most of us, perhaps all that
we can claim is a little knowledge of a few parts of the world where we have continuous
"on the ground" experience.
Property markets of Bulgaria
(& Romania) are a subject that RMW has recently seen fit to trivialise in
her column... headlined "Beware the cheap and nasty Bulgarian dream".
In
the same style as RMW used in her column - click
here - let me pose a question "Where would you find an Investment Property
- valued at EUR 100m, with a yield of 16.7%, comprising strong 7 year leases and
with a tenant base that includes:- Nestle, Orange, Procter&Gamble, Wella,
Equant, GE and shortly Siemens, IBM & Motorola" ................. Of
course you knew the answer is Bucharest.... where.. in Romania. This particular
development was snapped up by an Austrian institutional investor nearly 12 months
ago.
Having quoted an example of a good Investment property
in Central & SE Europe, this type of development opportunity is not available
in indefinite numbers - but it does indicate what is taking place on these little
known markets. As every Multi-national closes its doors in UK, France, Germany,
Italy & Spain, they are simply responding to economic forces by moving down
the road to Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Czech Republic & Slovakia.
Did
you know that Romania is now in 2nd place to Latvia as the fastest growing economy
in Central Europe, (& if the Black economy was included, it would far away
lead the league table), Did you know that a little workshop in Bulgaria (not so
little actually) produces the advanced technology production machinery that supports
much of the world's autoparts production 95% of Alloy wheel production to be specific.
Manupet of France has just moved here - much to the chagrin of Chirac & Villepin.
How
does economic growth affect the property markets.............. My thirteen your
old son could provide this answer.
Whilst responding to RMWs,
poorly researched article on the property investment opportunities in Bulgaria
& Romania in particular......... All foreign investment helps the wealth creation
of these now rapidly developing countries. Investors from UK in particular, are
probably far-sighted enough to realise there are no longer expectations for double
digit annual growth on their properties in UK or France or Germany (or anywhere
else in Western Europe).
The countries of Western Europe are
reduced to "Service economies" - It should be a wake-up call that Production
& Manufacturing has moved down the road to Romania, Bulgaria, Czech Republic,
Hungary, Slovakia etc.
It is the world's multi-national giants
that have taken the considered decisions to relocate key production operations
to regions of Europe where the workforce is both well educated & skilled,
and more to the point where the workforce is hungry for success and well motivated.
The EU economic programme is currently not working, and is
repeatedly making the region less and less competitive, so that shortly the ONLY
remaining industries will be in the services sector... This applies to "new
accession" countries such as Hungary where Foreign Direct Investment has
dramatically fallen away since the bullish 90's.
The answer
- of course is to emigrate.... where else, but to Bulgaria & Romania - where
the economic engines are fully fuelled and are accelerating hard..... and the
property markets are both liquid and strongly developing..